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7594 N. La Cholla Blvd
Tucson, AZ  85741-2307

BSchannep@SIATucson.Com

Telephone:       520-544-2500
Toll Free:         866-544-2500
Fax Number:    520-544-0499

Securities offered through
First Allied Securities, Inc.
A registered broker/dealer.
Member FINRA/SIPC.

Schannep Investment Advisors is a
registered investment adviser in the
state of Arizona. 

First Allied Securities, Inc. does not
endorse or support this web site, nor
are they affiliated with
Schannep Investment Advisors, Inc.

 

23 Bull Markets this Century

What signals the beginning of a Bull Market?  In our opinion, when markets rise 19% above the market lows; that is the threshold from which advances have then risen 95% of the time to over +29%. One-half have risen over 80%, with the average Bull market gain being 123%, and lasting nearly 3 years. 100% of Bull Markets in the 20th Century have been accompanied by or followed shortly thereafter (4.4 months on average) by economic expansions.

                        
                              1st                          2nd                          3rd                        4th       Quartile

              5.9                         16.5                          25.9                        49.0                      93.2  Months
            22.3                         55.5                          75.7                      144.4                   371.6%   Gain

Source: Schannep Timing Indicator (www.TheDowTheory.Com)   Schannep Timing Indicator is an independent subscription newsletter that we monitor - Schannep Investment Advisors is not affiliated with it, nor do we endorse or recommend you rely upon it."


You can see the shortest and longest Bull markets were 5.9 and 93.2 months respectively. The least gain was 22.3% and the most 371.6%. The median of all 23 complete Bull markets was a 75.7% gain and lasted 25.9 months. This gives you an historic perspective of where any particular Bull market stands in relation to others, and where a current Bull market's status might be. Bull (or Bear) markets can end at any point but the quartiles show the "odds" of when they might end.

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Securities offered through First Allied Securities, Inc.   A register broker/dealer.  Member FINRA/SIPC.
Schannep Investment Advisors is a registered investment adviser in the state of Arizona.  First Allied Securities, Inc. does not endorse or support this web site, nor are they affiliated with Schannep Investment Advisors, Inc.